Saturday, April 2, 2016

A look at gold

A look at gold.

Gold usually moves opposite of the USD and a drop in gold should correspond to a strengthening USD.

This is gold chart.

 

The gold chart is showing at gold has broken out of a channel since 2014 and has retested the upper channel trendline at $1204. it may go down slightly more to $1190 where there is support and bounce. Currently there is a small pennant that is visible.

Will Gold go up?

I don't really know. However, if gold strengthens then we can think that the USD will decline.

Which makes it a really interesting thing to note that USDJPY chart.

 
We can see that the USDJPY is forming a pennant that is flagging down wards to $105.

Next week is earnings season, I think there will be great potential for something to move out of their consolidation.


Dairy Farm

After three years of not blogging, I have come back again. Over these three years, I have continued with my studies on Technical analysis but due to other commitments, recovery from a bad fall and my day job have adruptly stopped blogging.

This time I will try to continue with my bloging on some of the interesting prices that are available on the SGX.

A look at Dairy Farm,

Dairy Farm's share price has dropped quite significantly over the past year from $ 9.77 to $5.88.
Looking at the dividend yield, it is 3.33%.

A quick look at the chart below from chart nexus shows that the share price has been in consolidation for a while.

An inverse head and shoulder is in the process of being formed. With a potential neckline at the $6.21. In order for it to be symmetrical, the shoulder should end about mid may,where it will coincide with the downtrend line from 11 may 2015 and 14 jul 2015.

The upside targets $6.81 which is where we have some consolidation and 161% extension from the low at  $5.55 and $6.21 recent top.

A long at the $5.80 looks attractive with a stop below $5.50 if you are trading. Risk is $0.40. Rewards $1.00. Risk reward ratio 2:1.

Dairy farm has a large parent called Jardine Matheson, so may be a good stock to hold if not trading.

Of course, in order to identify a good stock, fundamental analysis plays a part, which I am currently studying.

Dairy farm has been consistently paying a dividend of 23 cents. At $5.80, dividend yield will be 3.96%.


Disclaimer: This is not investment advice and any loses arising from this post is not the responsibility of the author.




Monday, December 23, 2013

131223 XAUUSD


XAUUSD on the daily must overtake breakdown point 1211.66 in order to become short term bullish. Bounce off the most recent support at 1187 (1181 region) still preventing it from breaking down. Below 1181, 1100 is support.

Price is still below the 50% retracement of the daily candle and 61.8% is resistance at 1211.66. Still bearish looking.

If long, long against 1811 for top of channel at 1281.

Friday, December 20, 2013

usdsgd 131220


USDSGD blasted though the channel resistance. Gap is now capping price.

EURUSD 131220

EURUSD H4 nearing support and possible bounce to 50% retracement at 1.3710 to short for lower. Also previous support of double top neckline.

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

131219 AUDNZD


AUDNZD 4H, at resistance now, turns bullish only after 1.0830.

131219 usdsgd


USDSGD DAILY shows an inverted head and shoulders that has broken out the neckline. Resistance is now at 1.2645. Near term support at 1.2575 targeting 1.2800 for completion of pattern + previous top. Further extension to 1.2920 - 1.2950 on a broader longer term channel possible.